Mauritania vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
1 - 0
MRT
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
MRT
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MRT
0 - 2
NER
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
KEN
1 - 1
MRT
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 1
MRT
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
GIN
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GIN
1 - 2
SDN
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
COD
3 - 1
GIN
47%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GIN
1 - 4
TUN
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
LBY
1 - 0
GIN
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |