Mauritania vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
3 - 2
MTN
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
COD
1 - 0
MTN
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
OMA
0 - 0
MTN
80%
15%
5%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 1
MTN
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
COD
0 - 1
GAB
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
0 - 0
BDI
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
2 - 0
GAB
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BFA
1 - 0
GAB
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GAB
4 - 1
NIG
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |