Mauritania vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
50.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
MTN
73%
17%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MTN
0 - 1
UGA
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 0
MTN
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
EQG
3 - 0
MTN
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 2
MTN
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NIG
1 - 1
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CPV
3 - 1
NIG
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 0
NIG
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NIG
0 - 0
ZAM
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
NIG
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |