Mauritania vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MTN
2 - 4
GAB
13%
19%
69%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
3 - 2
MTN
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
COD
1 - 0
MTN
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
OMA
0 - 0
MTN
80%
15%
5%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
LBY
1 - 1
NIG
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIG
2 - 2
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GAB
4 - 1
NIG
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 1
BFA
29%
27%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BFA
4 - 0
NIG
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |