Mauritania vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 0
MTN
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MTN
2 - 0
NIG
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
0 - 0
MTN
88%
10%
3%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
MTN
2 - 0
CGO
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MTN
1 - 0
GNB
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
MLI
3 - 3
ANG
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 0
COD
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 1
MLI
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |