CHAN 1/16
Global 3-2
Mauritania vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
RUS
1 - 3
MTN
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MTN
0 - 1
LBR
43%
23%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LBR
0 - 2
MTN
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
MTN
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
MTN
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MLI
4 - 0
GAM
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GAM
0 - 0
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MLI
2 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
UGA
1 - 1
MLI
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GHA
1 - 0
MLI
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |