Mauritania vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 1
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MRT
4 - 0
SSD
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
MRT
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MRT
3 - 1
ZAF
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
SLE
0 - 2
MRT
67%
22%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 1
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
1 - 4
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MLI
3 - 1
GNB
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 1
MLI
16%
21%
63%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |