Mauritania vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
MLI
20%
24%
57%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
MTN
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MTN
2 - 1
CPV
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CPV
0 - 0
MTN
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
TUN
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
RSA
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SYC
1 - 8
LBY
5%
12%
84%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LBY
2 - 3
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |