Mauritania vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
4 - 1
MTN
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CTA
0 - 1
MTN
8%
16%
76%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MTN
0 - 0
MAR
10%
23%
68%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BDI
3 - 1
MTN
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MTN
1 - 1
BDI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
LBR
80%
14%
5%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
LBR
19%
19%
62%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
LBR
1 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
LBR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 0
LBR
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |