Mauritania vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 1
MRT
79%
16%
6%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MRT
1 - 2
TUN
13%
23%
64%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MRT
1 - 1
MLI
15%
22%
64%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 1
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MRT
4 - 0
SSD
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
GMB
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GMB
1 - 1
NAM
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GMB
0 - 1
CMR
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
GMB
0 - 1
SEN
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GMB
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |