Martinique vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martinique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MTQ
1 - 2
CRC
16%
27%
58%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GUF
2 - 2
MTQ
36%
24%
41%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
MTQ
0 - 0
PAN
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PAN
5 - 0
MTQ
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CRC
2 - 0
MTQ
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LCA
3 - 1
DMA
56%
22%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AIA
1 - 2
LCA
10%
15%
76%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 1
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
LCA
2 - 0
AIA
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |