Martinique vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martinique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
SLV
1 - 0
MTQ
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
MTQ
0 - 2
USA
3%
15%
82%
|
61 | 91 | 30 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LCA
4 - 5
MTQ
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
JAM
2 - 2
MTQ
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
HTI
2 - 1
MTQ
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
MEX
8 - 0
DMA
94%
5%
1%
|
50 | 92 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
DMA
0 - 10
MEX
10%
22%
69%
|
51 | 92 | 41 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BHS
1 - 3
DMA
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
DMA
1 - 1
BHS
77%
14%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
BRB
2 - 1
DMA
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |