Morocco vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
BFA
1 - 1
MAR
29%
29%
43%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
MAR
23%
28%
49%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSA
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
BFA
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
UGA
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 1
BFA
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 0
UGA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |