Morocco vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTA
0 - 0
MAR
6%
18%
76%
|
87 | 10 | 77 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
GEO
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 2
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
ALG
63%
24%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
BOT
67%
22%
11%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TAN
1 - 1
ALG
30%
30%
41%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CTA
2 - 1
TAN
14%
21%
65%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TAN
0 - 1
RSA
15%
24%
60%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MOZ
2 - 0
TAN
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TAN
2 - 1
CTA
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |