Morocco vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
MTN
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
ANG
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
RSA
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
COD
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAN
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
COD
1 - 1
ZAM
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |