Morocco vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
CMR
1 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
BGR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 0
MTN
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
MAR
2 - 2
TUN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
ALG
0 - 0
ZAM
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
CMR
3 - 2
ZAM
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
ZAM
3 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
7%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1986 |
ZAM
6 - 0
BOT
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZAM
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |