Morocco vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 4
GER
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUN
61%
18%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
SYR
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
SUI
59%
18%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1963 |
CHI
0 - 0
URU
45%
22%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1962 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 1
URU
60%
19%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
3 - 1
URU
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |