Morocco vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
UZB
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
SRB
1 - 2
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
NGA
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
LBY
71%
20%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 2
UKR
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
UKR
1 - 1
KSA
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
UKR
2 - 1
SVK
53%
25%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
UKR
0 - 2
CRO
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
XXK
0 - 2
UKR
14%
22%
63%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |