Morocco vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 3
SUN
20%
27%
54%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 0
IRQ
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
IRQ
3 - 0
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1977 |
CHN
3 - 2
MAR
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1976 |
SRB
0 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1978 |
TUN
2 - 1
LBY
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1978 |
LBY
0 - 0
TUN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TUN
4 - 1
EGY
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1977 |
EGY
3 - 2
TUN
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
NGA
0 - 1
TUN
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |