Morocco vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
GHA
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
BDI
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MTN
0 - 0
MAR
10%
23%
68%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MLI
0 - 2
MAR
20%
26%
53%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
3 - 0
NIG
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 2
NIG
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
LBY
0 - 1
SDN
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 0
RSA
16%
22%
63%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +2 |