Morocco vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CPV
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
0 - 0
MAR
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAM
77%
17%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MAR
35%
30%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
78%
17%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
CPV
66%
22%
13%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ALG
55%
27%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 1
NOR
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 1
MWI
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |