Morocco vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1998 |
EGY
0 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
MOZ
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1998 |
ZAM
1 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
89%
9%
2%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 1
ANG
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1998 |
RSA
4 - 1
NAM
79%
15%
7%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
RSA
1 - 1
CIV
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
RSA
0 - 0
ANG
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
NAM
3 - 2
RSA
11%
21%
68%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
URU
4 - 3
RSA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |