Morocco vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
NIR
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1986 |
CIV
3 - 2
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1986 |
EGY
1 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZAM
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
CMR
1 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1986 |
DEN
1 - 0
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
URU
2 - 2
POL
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
TUR
1 - 1
POL
23%
27%
50%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
TUN
1 - 0
POL
26%
28%
47%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |