Morocco vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
CIV
3 - 3
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
MAR
2 - 1
EGY
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1983 |
MAR
2 - 0
LBY
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
TUN
1 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
SEN
1 - 0
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
NGA
0 - 0
MLI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1983 |
TOG
5 - 2
NGA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
SEN
0 - 1
NGA
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
NGA
1 - 0
SEN
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
GHA
1 - 2
NGA
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |