Morocco vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 1
EGY
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
3 - 1
NGA
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
1 - 0
COD
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 2
SDN
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
TUN
4 - 3
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
GUI
1 - 1
NGA
68%
18%
15%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
3 - 1
NGA
68%
18%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1976 |
NGA
1 - 0
SDN
73%
16%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1976 |
NGA
4 - 2
COD
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
ZAM
1 - 3
NGA
45%
22%
34%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |