CAF Qualifying 2da Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Morocco vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
CIV
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 1
MAR
20%
28%
51%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SEN
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
VIE
1 - 0
MOZ
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
MOZ
1 - 1
TAN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZIM
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |