Morocco vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALG
59%
23%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
GAB
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIG
78%
16%
6%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 0
MTN
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
LBY
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
MLI
20%
24%
57%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
MTN
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MTN
2 - 1
CPV
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |