Morocco vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 0
POL
19%
23%
58%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1980 |
CIV
4 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
LVA
0 - 0
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1980 |
SLE
3 - 2
GUI
41%
23%
36%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1980 |
GUI
2 - 0
MTN
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
SEN
2 - 1
GUI
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
GAM
0 - 0
GUI
49%
21%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1980 |
GUI
2 - 1
GNB
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |