Morocco vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
KEN
75%
18%
7%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
CAF
86%
11%
2%
|
81 | 15 | 66 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBY
67%
22%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
QAT
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 0
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TZA
4 - 1
BEN
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
STP
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
STP
0 - 2
BEN
14%
19%
66%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |