Morocco vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
NGA
0 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
MAR
41%
29%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
TTO
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 0
BEN
78%
15%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 0
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 2
MAD
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MAD
1 - 1
BEN
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |