Morocco vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
POR
1 - 3
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1986 |
ENG
0 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
POL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
NIR
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1986 |
CIV
3 - 2
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1986 |
DEN
2 - 0
BRD
42%
23%
35%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
BRD
2 - 1
SCO
81%
12%
7%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
URU
1 - 1
BRD
34%
25%
41%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1986 |
BRD
3 - 1
NED
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BRD
1 - 1
YUG
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |