Morocco vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.4%
2.8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
NIR
1 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TAN
0 - 1
MAR
17%
26%
57%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
CTA
86%
12%
3%
|
86 | 7 | 79 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
EQG
89%
9%
3%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
CMR
44%
28%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
RSA
2 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
3%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ZIM
0 - 1
NIG
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
LBY
1 - 1
NIG
72%
17%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NIG
1 - 0
EGY
6%
20%
74%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
RSA
2 - 0
NIG
86%
11%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |