WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Morocco vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 3
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
LBY
0 - 4
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STP
0 - 3
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
82 | 38 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
EQG
28%
23%
50%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EQG
1 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
AND
0 - 1
EQG
18%
23%
60%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 1
EQG
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 0
EQG
84%
12%
5%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |