Morocco vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.8%
6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARG
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
MWI
0 - 0
MAR
16%
26%
58%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CMR
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
MAR
6%
18%
76%
|
86 | 35 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 1
GAM
77%
15%
7%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GAM
3 - 1
BEN
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
GAM
0 - 1
TOG
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
TOG
1 - 1
GAM
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GAM
1 - 1
ALG
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |