Morocco vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 3
SUN
20%
27%
54%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 0
IRQ
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
IRQ
3 - 0
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1977 |
CHN
3 - 2
MAR
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 1
CGO
57%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1977 |
CMR
1 - 2
CGO
72%
16%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1977 |
CGO
8 - 0
BDI
66%
18%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1976 |
CMR
3 - 2
CGO
71%
16%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1976 |
GAB
0 - 1
CGO
46%
22%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |