Malta vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
74.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
MLT
2 - 0
FIN
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
MLT
0 - 1
POR
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
ISR
1 - 1
MLT
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
MLT
1 - 1
SUI
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
SWE
1 - 0
MLT
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
TUN
2 - 3
MWI
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
DDR
2 - 0
TUN
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
SEN
1 - 0
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1987 |
CMR
3 - 1
TUN
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1987 |
MAD
3 - 0
TUN
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | -1 |