Malta vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
MLT
0 - 3
NIR
21%
27%
53%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
MLT
0 - 1
ALB
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2000 |
MLT
1 - 1
AND
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MLT
3 - 0
AZE
35%
25%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2000 |
MLT
2 - 0
QAT
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
RSA
3 - 0
MUS
88%
10%
2%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
RSA
2 - 2
TUN
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
NGA
2 - 0
RSA
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
GHA
0 - 1
RSA
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
RSA
1 - 1
ALG
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |