Malta vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MLT
2 - 2
GRC
17%
25%
57%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
MLT
2 - 1
ISR
6%
14%
79%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
MLT
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MLT
1 - 0
SMR
80%
12%
7%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
MLT
1 - 2
EST
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
IRL
1 - 2
NOR
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 2
ARM
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 1
IRL
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
UKR
1 - 1
IRL
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 0
SCO
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |