Malta vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
MLT
1 - 2
ITA
17%
31%
52%
|
57 | 95 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
SUI
3 - 0
MLT
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
MLT
0 - 0
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
CYP
3 - 0
MLT
48%
24%
29%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 May. 1992 |
MLT
1 - 0
LVA
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1992 |
POR
2 - 1
BGR
49%
29%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
SCO
0 - 0
POR
52%
28%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
AUT
1 - 1
POR
50%
27%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
POR
0 - 2
IRL
47%
30%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
USA
1 - 0
POR
35%
30%
35%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |