Malta vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
MLT
2 - 3
BRD
3%
15%
82%
|
53 | 94 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
CSK
4 - 0
MLT
85%
10%
4%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1984 |
ISR
2 - 1
MLT
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1984 |
SWE
4 - 0
MLT
93%
5%
2%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1983 |
ESP
12 - 1
MLT
81%
14%
6%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
POR
2 - 3
ROU
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
POR
1 - 3
SWE
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
POR
2 - 1
CSK
44%
28%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
SWE
0 - 1
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1984 |
POR
1 - 0
BGR
64%
23%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |