Malta vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1999 |
MLT
2 - 1
BIH
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
MLT
1 - 2
MKD
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
IRL
5 - 0
MLT
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
MLT
1 - 4
CRO
2%
14%
84%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
MKD
4 - 0
MLT
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1998 |
SVK
1 - 3
POL
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
POL
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
BGR
0 - 3
POL
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
POL
2 - 0
ISR
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1998 |
UKR
1 - 2
POL
33%
25%
43%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |