Malta vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
MLT
2 - 1
JOR
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
MLT
2 - 1
CAN
18%
25%
58%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
MLT
0 - 1
NIR
19%
29%
51%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
CZE
3 - 2
MLT
94%
5%
1%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
MLT
0 - 2
BGR
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 0
MDA
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
GEO
2 - 0
LTU
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
LTU
0 - 0
ITA
15%
26%
59%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
LTU
2 - 3
ISR
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2001 |
LVA
4 - 1
LTU
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |