Malta vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.9%
71.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
MLT
0 - 3
NOR
12%
20%
68%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 0
MLT
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 91 | 41 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SVK
1 - 0
MLT
82%
14%
4%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
GIB
1 - 0
MLT
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 0
MLT
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
AZE
83%
14%
3%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 2
ITA
23%
26%
51%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
NED
25%
24%
51%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
URU
43%
25%
32%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
CRC
69%
20%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |