Malta vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
22.1%
72.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
24.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
30%
0-2
19.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
23%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
MLT
0 - 5
SWE
16%
24%
60%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
MLT
1 - 2
SWE
1%
14%
85%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
POR
3 - 2
MLT
92%
6%
2%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
MLT
0 - 0
CSK
19%
26%
55%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
MLT
3 - 1
JOR
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
ITA
3 - 2
SUI
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
ITA
2 - 0
GRC
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1986 |
ITA
0 - 2
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1986 |
KOR
2 - 3
ITA
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1986 |
ITA
1 - 1
ARG
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |