Malta vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
63.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SVN
3 - 0
MLT
91%
7%
2%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
MKD
5 - 0
MLT
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MLT
1 - 0
AZE
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
MLT
1 - 1
AND
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
MLT
3 - 0
MDA
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 5
ISR
12%
23%
64%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
LTU
2 - 4
ISR
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
DEN
3 - 1
ISR
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
GER
7 - 1
ISR
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
ISR
1 - 1
AUT
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |