Malta vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
ISL
4 - 1
MLT
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
SWE
6 - 0
MLT
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 94 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 0
MLT
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
MLT
0 - 3
NOR
15%
25%
60%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
MLT
0 - 2
HUN
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
NIR
1 - 4
GER
14%
24%
62%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
4 - 0
NIR
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
NIR
0 - 1
CAN
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
NIR
3 - 3
AUT
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |