Malta vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
BGR
4 - 1
MLT
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
MLT
0 - 0
ISL
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MLT
0 - 7
SWE
16%
26%
58%
|
57 | 94 | 37 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
FRO
3 - 2
MLT
54%
21%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
GER
7 - 0
MLT
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 95 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 0
HUN
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
HUN
3 - 2
ISL
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 0
HUN
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SCO
0 - 3
HUN
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
GER
0 - 2
HUN
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |