Malta vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
66.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1988 |
NIR
3 - 0
MLT
86%
10%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1988 |
MLT
1 - 1
SCO
2%
22%
76%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1988 |
TUN
1 - 2
MLT
74%
15%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
MLT
2 - 0
FIN
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
MLT
0 - 1
POR
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
4 - 1
WAL
61%
25%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
WAL
1 - 2
YUG
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
CSK
2 - 0
WAL
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
DEN
1 - 0
WAL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
WAL
1 - 0
DEN
43%
29%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |