Malta vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
61.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
HUN
4 - 0
MLT
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
MLT
1 - 1
NIR
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
ISL
4 - 1
MLT
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
SWE
6 - 0
MLT
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 94 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 0
MLT
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
ISL
1 - 3
CRO
22%
27%
51%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
BGR
1 - 3
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 0
MLT
76%
17%
8%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
CRO
4 - 0
ISL
71%
19%
10%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |