Malta vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
14.4%
82.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
20.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.8%
0-3
15%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
WAL
7 - 0
MLT
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
LBY
1 - 0
MLT
56%
20%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
MLT
0 - 3
TUR
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
DDR
9 - 0
MLT
89%
8%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1977 |
TUN
2 - 1
MLT
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1978 |
BRD
3 - 1
NED
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 0
HUN
66%
20%
14%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CSK
3 - 4
BRD
38%
27%
36%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
3 - 2
BRD
38%
26%
37%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
BRD
2 - 2
NED
75%
14%
10%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |